83.33% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > 20

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Nov 13:30
16 Sep 12:30
18 Mar 12:30
18 Feb 13:30
21 Jan 13:30