83.33% probability that USDCAD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < ¥-150B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Aug 09:50
22 May 09:50
20 Feb 10:50
23 Jan 10:50