83.33% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -18

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 11:01
23 Jul 09:01
21 May 09:01
19 Mar 11:01
19 Feb 11:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).