83.33% probability that USDJPY may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Apr 14:00
16 Mar 16:00
21 Jan 14:00
19 Dec 14:00
31 Oct 15:00
19 Sep 13:00
30 Jul 13:00
25 Apr 13:00
23 Jan 14:00
20 Dec 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).