83.33% probability that USDJPY may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Oct 14:00
17 Sep 13:00
15 Jul 13:00
16 Jun 12:45
22 May 13:00
27 Apr 14:00
16 Mar 16:00
19 Dec 14:00
31 Oct 15:00
30 Jul 13:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).