85.71% probability that AUDUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < $-66.1B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Jul 22:30
04 Jun 22:30
05 May 22:30
04 Oct 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).