85.71% probability that BP may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, BP may trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > A$8.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 00:30
04 Nov 00:30
05 Oct 00:30
02 Sep 01:30
05 Aug 01:30
03 Jun 01:30