85.71% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < -75 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Apr 11:30
10 Mar 12:00
11 Feb 11:30
28 Jan 11:30
08 Oct 11:30
14 May 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).