85.71% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 8.5% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 May 15:30
14 Feb 17:30
20 Nov 17:30
14 Aug 15:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).