85.71% probability that USDCAD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > 6.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Feb 00:00
07 Jan 00:00
28 Oct 23:00
29 Jul 22:00
31 May 22:00
29 Apr 22:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).