87.5% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 8.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 May 15:30
14 Aug 15:30
16 May 15:30
14 Feb 17:30
20 Nov 17:30
14 Aug 15:30
15 Feb 17:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).