Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 2.8% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Oct 09:30	30 Jul 09:30
30 Apr 09:30	30 Mar 10:30
02 Mar 10:30	29 Jan 10:30
25 Dec 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).