87.5% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 35K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Nov 18:00
13 Oct 17:00
15 Sep 16:00
16 Jul 16:00
21 Apr 16:00
17 Mar 20:30
18 Feb 20:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).