Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, USDJPY may trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 1325K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 May 22:30	12 May 22:30
05 May 22:30	21 Apr 22:30
14 Apr 22:30	31 Mar 23:30
24 Mar 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).