88.89% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 88.89% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > 18

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Mar 11:30
09 Feb 11:30
08 Dec 11:30
10 Nov 11:30
05 Oct 11:30
14 Jul 11:30
09 Jun 11:30
12 May 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).