We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past United Kingdom Unemployment Rate news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 3.8%. A price movement of 92 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jul 16:00	17 May 16:00
15 Mar 18:00	17 Aug 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).