Are you on the right side of Australia Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is > A$5.4B. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 01:30
09 Jan 00:30
07 Nov 00:30