Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for 12 hours because the released value is > 30K. A price movement of 68 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 11:30	19 Nov 11:30
15 Oct 11:30	17 Sep 11:30
13 Aug 11:30	16 Jul 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).