Based on past Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 70% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 1.35%. A price movement of 91 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Apr 14:30	01 Mar 14:30
07 Dec 14:30	02 Nov 14:30
07 Sep 14:30	06 Jul 14:30
01 Jun 14:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).