Are you on the right side of Australia Unemployment Rate news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Australia, we expect BP to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect BP to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Jan 00:30 if the released value is < 4.5%. A price movement of 0 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Dec 00:30
14 Oct 00:30
16 Sep 01:30
19 Aug 01:30
15 Jul 01:30
15 Apr 01:30
18 Mar 00:30
18 Feb 00:30