Are you on the right side of Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event?

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Aug 14:00 if the released value is < 70. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 May 14:00
07 Dec 15:00
07 Oct 14:00
04 Sep 14:00