Are you on the right side of Euro Area Business Confidence news event?

Based on the last 12 Business Confidence events in Euro Area, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 29 Jun 09:00 if the released value is < -2. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Apr 09:25
30 Mar 09:00
08 Jan 10:00
28 Nov 10:00
27 Sep 09:00
30 Jul 09:00
27 Jun 09:00