Are you on the right side of Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news event?

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 12 Mar 12:45 if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jan 12:45
24 Oct 11:45
12 Sep 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
10 Apr 11:45
07 Mar 12:45
13 Dec 12:45
25 Oct 11:45