Are you on the right side of Euro Area GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est news event?

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est events in Euro Area, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 15 May 09:00 if the released value is = -3.8%. A price movement of 31 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Feb 10:00
14 Aug 09:00
15 May 09:00
14 Nov 10:00
15 May 09:00
14 Feb 10:00
14 Nov 10:00
16 Aug 09:00