Are you on the right side of Germany Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 77.78% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 07 Aug 06:00 if the released value is > € 1.4B. A price movement of 67 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Apr 06:00
09 Mar 07:00
10 Oct 06:00
09 Sep 06:00
09 Aug 06:00