Are you on the right side of Germany Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, USDCHF could trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. If the released value is < €1.2B we could see USDCHF trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Jul 06:00. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jun 06:00
04 Mar 07:00
09 Feb 07:00
07 Jan 07:00
09 Nov 07:00
09 Sep 06:00
08 Jul 06:00