Are you on the right side of Germany Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is < € 10.8B. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 07:00
09 Dec 07:00
09 Nov 07:00
08 Oct 06:00
09 Aug 06:00
08 Jul 06:00