Are you on the right side of Germany Ifo Business Climate news event?

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 25 Jan 09:00 if the released value is < 94.7. A price movement of 36 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 09:00
24 Nov 09:00
24 Sep 08:00
26 Apr 08:00
25 Jan 09:00