Are you on the right side of Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news event?

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Apr 07:30 if the released value is < 65.8. A price movement of 6 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 May 07:30
23 Apr 07:30