Are you on the right side of Germany Unemployment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Change events in Germany, we expect 6E to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect 6E to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 08:55 if the released value is < -6K. A price movement of 0 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jan 08:55
30 Nov 08:55
29 Jul 07:55
31 Mar 07:55
29 Jan 08:55
05 Jan 08:55