Are you on the right side of Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index news event?

Based on the last 12 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index events in Germany, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-05-16 19:00 if the released value is < -5.3. A price movement of 32 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Apr 19:00
21 Mar 21:00
13 Sep 19:00
12 Jul 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).