Are you on the right side of Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index news event?

Based on the last 12 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index events in Germany, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Jul 09:00 if the released value is < 60. A price movement of 41 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Mar 10:00
18 Feb 10:00
16 Jul 09:00