Are you on the right side of Japan Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is > ¥202.3B. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Apr 23:50
16 Feb 23:50
17 Nov 23:50
18 Aug 23:50