Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect 6E to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect 6E to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 15 Mar 23:50 if the released value is < ¥-112.6B. A price movement of 0 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 23:50

15 Sep 23:50

20 Jul 23:50

15 Jun 23:50

16 Mar 23:50