Are you on the right side of Japan Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, AUDUSD could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. If the released value is < ¥-1150B we could see AUDUSD trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 May 23:50. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Mar 23:50
16 Feb 23:50
15 Dec 23:50
15 Sep 23:50
20 Jul 23:50
15 Jun 23:50