Are you on the right side of Japan Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, GC could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. If the released value is > ¥-1150B we could see GC trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 May 23:50.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jan 23:50
17 Aug 23:50
19 May 23:50