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Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for 48 hours because the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 107 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
18 Dec 14:45![]() |
29 Oct 14:00![]() |
15 Jul 13:00![]() |
16 Jun 12:45![]() |
22 May 13:00![]() |
16 Mar 16:00![]() |
21 Jan 14:00![]() |
19 Dec 14:00![]() |
19 Sep 13:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).