Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 02 Oct 15:00 if the released value is < 32. A price movement of 135 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 15:00	29 May 15:00
06 Apr 15:20	03 Mar 16:00
02 Oct 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).