Are you on the right side of Japan Consumer Confidence news event?

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Jan 05:00 if the released value is < 35. A price movement of 60 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Oct 05:00
01 Jul 05:00
29 May 05:00
06 Apr 05:20
29 Jan 05:00