Are you on the right side of Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers Index news event?

Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards for 48 hours because the released value is < -23. A price movement of 107 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 09:50
13 Dec 10:50
01 Apr 10:50
01 Oct 09:50
02 Jul 09:50
02 Apr 09:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).