Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 28 Feb 10:30 if the released value is < 2.2%. A price movement of 13 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 10:30	01 Oct 09:30
30 Aug 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).