Are you on the right side of Japan Unemployment Rate news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 31 Jan 23:30 if the released value is < 2.8%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 23:30
30 Sep 23:30
29 Jul 23:30
29 Mar 23:30
01 Mar 23:30
28 Jan 23:30