Are you on the right side of Japan Unemployment Rate news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 31 Jan 10:30 if the released value is < 2.3%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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30 Aug 09:30
30 Jul 09:30
29 Mar 10:30