Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Mar 18:00 if the released value is > 81.6. A price movement of 43 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Feb 19:00	30 Jan 19:00
30 Dec 19:00	30 Aug 17:00
30 Jul 17:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).