Are you on the right side of Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators news event?

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 28 Jan 19:00 if the released value is < 106.3. A price movement of 23 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Nov 19:00
30 Aug 17:00
30 Jul 17:00
29 Jan 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).