Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 30 Nov 19:00 if the released value is > 101. A price movement of 72 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 17:00	28 Aug 17:00
28 Feb 19:00	30 Jan 19:00
30 Dec 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).