Are you on the right side of United Kingdom Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect CC to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect CC to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is < £-3.7B. A price movement of 2,350 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Sep 06:00
12 Aug 06:00
13 Apr 06:00