Are you on the right side of United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event?

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for 4 hours because the released value is < -15. A price movement of 12 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Oct 10:01
20 Aug 09:01
25 Jun 09:01
23 Apr 09:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).