Are you on the right side of United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news event?

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Oct 06:00 if the released value is < 3.2%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Apr 06:00
24 Mar 07:00
16 Dec 07:00