Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Jan 13:15 if the released value is < 88K. A price movement of 53 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Dec 13:15
04 Nov 13:15
02 Sep 12:15
06 May 12:15